FriendliesThursday, 04 June 2026 · Full-time2-2✕
SWE
Sweden
VS
GRE
Greece
Sweden vs Greece Prediction
Under2.5 goals
82% confidence
Why this pick
Why we picked this for Sweden vs Greece
Our pick for Sweden vs Greece in Friendlies is Under 2.5 goals, with 82% confidence. Recent form: 3 of Sweden's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (3.4 goals per game in total), against 4 of 5 for Greece (3.2 per game). Recent form leans the other way: only 3 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5.
Past meetings don't decide it either way, with 1 of the last 2 ending under 2.5. At 82%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 2-2. The pick lost.
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3.4
avg goals, Sweden last 5
3.2
avg goals, Greece last 5
50%
last 2 H2H went over 2.5
7 / 10
combined form matches over
Current form
Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Sweden
Sweden 3-2 Poland
Over 2.5✕Mar 31, 2026
Ukraine 1-3 Sweden
Over 2.5✕Mar 26, 2026
Sweden 1-1 Slovenia
Under 2.5✓Nov 18, 2025
Switzerland 4-1 Sweden
Over 2.5✕Nov 15, 2025
Sweden 0-1 Kosovo
Under 2.5✓Oct 13, 2025
Greece
Belarus 0-0 Greece
Under 2.5✓Nov 18, 2025
Greece 3-2 Scotland
Over 2.5✕Nov 15, 2025
Denmark 3-1 Greece
Over 2.5✕Oct 12, 2025
Scotland 3-1 Greece
Over 2.5✕Oct 09, 2025
Greece 0-3 Denmark
Over 2.5✕Sep 08, 2025
Head to head
Last 2 meetings
Sweden vs Greece, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2021 | Sweden | Greece | 2-0 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Sep 08, 2021 | Greece | Sweden | 2-1 | Over 2.5✕ |