Home/International Tips/Gremio vs Chapecoense
FriendliesSaturday, 04 July 2026 · Full-time1-2✕
GRE

Gremio

VS
CHA

Chapecoense

Gremio vs Chapecoense Prediction

Under2.5 goals
52% confidence

Why we picked this for Gremio vs Chapecoense

For this Friendlies fixture we go with Under 2.5 goals for Gremio vs Chapecoense, at 52% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Gremio's games produced 2.0 goals on average, 2 of them over 2.5. Chapecoense's games averaged 3.6, with 2 of 5 over the line. Current form is what points us towards Under 2.5.

History between the two sides fits the pick too: 3 of 5 recent meetings went under 2.5. With 52% confidence the recent numbers only just favour this side, so this is one of our weaker picks. Final score: 1-2. The pick lost.

How we make our predictions →

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2.0
avg goals, Gremio last 5
3.6
avg goals, Chapecoense last 5
40%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
4 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Gremio
Gremio 2-2 Montevideo City
May 27, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Gremio 2-0 Palestino Santiago
May 21, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Deportivo Riestra 0-3 Gremio
May 06, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Palestino Santiago 0-0 Gremio
Apr 30, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Gremio 1-0 Deportivo Riestra
Apr 15, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Chapecoense
Chapecoense 1-1 Gremio
Mar 17, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Sao Paulo SP 2-0 Chapecoense
Mar 13, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Chapecoense 3-3 Coritiba
Feb 11, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Vasco da Gama 1-1 Chapecoense
Feb 06, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Chapecoense 4-2 Santos SP
Jan 29, 2026
Over 2.5✕

Last 5 meetings

Gremio vs Chapecoense, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Mar 17, 2026ChapecoenseGremio1-1
Under 2.5✓
Jul 26, 2022ChapecoenseGremio0-0
Under 2.5✓
Apr 16, 2022GremioChapecoense0-1
Under 2.5✓
Nov 20, 2021ChapecoenseGremio1-3
Over 2.5✕
Aug 10, 2021GremioChapecoense2-1
Over 2.5✕