Home/Uruguay Tips/Montevideo Wanderers vs Progresso
Primera DivisionSaturday, 11 July 2026 · Full-time2-0✓
MON

Montevideo Wanderers

VS
PRO

Progresso

Montevideo Wanderers vs Progresso Prediction

Under2.5 goals
87% confidence

Why we picked this for Montevideo Wanderers vs Progresso

Under 2.5 goals is our call for Montevideo Wanderers against Progresso (Primera Division), rated at 87% confidence. Matches involving Montevideo Wanderers produced 2.0 goals per game over their last 5, and 2 of those went over 2.5. For Progresso it is 2.4 goals per game, with 2 of 5 over 2.5. The form of both teams backs the call.

The head-to-head points the same way: 4 of their last 5 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. At 87%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 2-0. The pick won.

How we make our predictions →

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2.0
avg goals, Montevideo Wanderers last 5
2.4
avg goals, Progresso last 5
20%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
4 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Montevideo Wanderers
Club Nacional Montevideo 2-0 Montevideo Wanderers
Mar 14, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Montevideo Wanderers 0-0 Deportivo Maldonado
Mar 07, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Central Esp. 0-1 Montevideo Wanderers
Mar 01, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Montevideo Wanderers 0-4 Montevideo City
Feb 22, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Cerro Largo 1-2 Montevideo Wanderers
Feb 13, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Progresso
CA Cerro 0-1 Progresso
Mar 14, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Progresso 2-2 Albion Montevideo
Mar 07, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Danubio 2-2 Progresso
Feb 28, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Progresso 0-1 Club Nacional Montevideo
Feb 22, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Deportivo Maldonado 2-0 Progresso
Feb 14, 2026
Under 2.5✓

Last 5 meetings

Montevideo Wanderers vs Progresso, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Sep 21, 2025ProgressoMontevideo Wanderers2-0
Under 2.5✓
Mar 27, 2025Montevideo WanderersProgresso1-1
Under 2.5✓
Nov 10, 2024ProgressoMontevideo Wanderers0-0
Under 2.5✓
Jul 14, 2024Montevideo WanderersProgresso4-2
Over 2.5✕
May 04, 2024Montevideo WanderersProgresso2-0
Under 2.5✓