Home/UEFA Tips/Sturm Graz vs Heart of Midlothian
Champions LeagueTuesday, 21 July 2026 · Full-time4-0✕
STU

Sturm Graz

VS
HEA

Heart of Midlothian

Sturm Graz vs Heart of Midlothian Prediction

Under2.5 goals
86% confidence

Why we picked this for Sturm Graz vs Heart of Midlothian

For this Champions League fixture we go with Under 2.5 goals for Sturm Graz vs Heart of Midlothian, at 86% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Sturm Graz's games produced 2.8 goals on average, 1 of them over 2.5. Heart of Midlothian's games averaged 3.0, with 4 of 5 over the line. Recent form is split here (5 of 10 games went under 2.5), so it doesn't settle the call on its own.

There are no recent meetings between these teams in our data, so head-to-head history plays no part here. A confidence of 86% means the recent numbers clearly point to Under 2.5. The match ended 4-0, so Under 2.5 didn't come in.

How we make our predictions →

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2.8
avg goals, Sturm Graz last 5
3.0
avg goals, Heart of Midlothian last 5
—
no previous meetings
5 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz 2-0 Rapid Vienna
May 17, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Hartberg 2-4 Sturm Graz
May 10, 2026
Over 2.5✕
FC Red Bull Salzburg 1-1 Sturm Graz
May 03, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Sturm Graz 1-1 Austria Wien
Apr 26, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Sturm Graz 1-1 LASK Linz
Apr 22, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Heart of Midlothian
Celtic 3-1 Heart of Midlothian
May 16, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Heart of Midlothian 3-0 Falkirk
May 13, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Motherwell 1-1 Heart of Midlothian
May 09, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Heart of Midlothian 2-1 Rangers
May 04, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Hibernian 1-2 Heart of Midlothian
Apr 26, 2026
Over 2.5✕