Home/Brazil Tips/Atletico MG vs Bahia
Serie ATuesday, 21 July 2026 · Full-time1-1✕
ATL

Atletico MG

VS
BAH

Bahia

Atletico MG vs Bahia Prediction

Over2.5 goals
54% confidence

Why we picked this for Atletico MG vs Bahia

For this Serie A fixture we go with Over 2.5 goals for Atletico MG vs Bahia, at 54% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Atletico MG's games produced 2.2 goals on average, 2 of them over 2.5. Bahia's games averaged 1.4, with 0 of 5 over the line. Recent form leans the other way: only 2 of the 10 recent games went over 2.5.

History between the two sides fits the pick too: 4 of 5 recent meetings went over 2.5. At 54%, the recent numbers are close to even, so this is one of our weaker picks; treat it with caution. The match ended 1-1, so Over 2.5 didn't come in.

How we make our predictions →

Advertisement

Recommended bookmakers

Partners offering strong markets for over/under betting. 18+, terms apply.

1xbet
Claim bonus →
New customers only. 18+. T&Cs apply.
22bet
Claim bonus →
New customers only. 18+. T&Cs apply.
GG.bet
Claim bonus →
New customers only. 18+. T&Cs apply.
2.2
avg goals, Atletico MG last 5
1.4
avg goals, Bahia last 5
80%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
2 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Atletico MG
Atletico MG 1-0 Puerto Cabello
May 28, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Atletico MG 2-0 Cienciano
May 22, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Juventud 2-2 Atletico MG
May 06, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Cienciano 1-0 Atletico MG
Apr 30, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Atletico MG 2-1 Juventud
Apr 17, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Bahia
Internacional RS 0-1 Bahia
Mar 15, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Bahia 1-1 Vitoria BA
Mar 12, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Bahia 2-0 O'Higgins
Feb 25, 2026
Under 2.5✕
O'Higgins 1-0 Bahia
Feb 18, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Vasco da Gama 0-1 Bahia
Feb 12, 2026
Under 2.5✕

Last 5 meetings

Atletico MG vs Bahia, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Nov 06, 2025Atletico MGBahia3-0
Over 2.5✓
Jul 13, 2025BahiaAtletico MG2-1
Over 2.5✓
Sep 15, 2024BahiaAtletico MG3-0
Over 2.5✓
Jun 02, 2024Atletico MGBahia1-1
Under 2.5✕
Dec 07, 2023BahiaAtletico MG4-1
Over 2.5✓