Home/Brazil Tips/Palmeiras vs Atletico MG
Serie ASunday, 26 July 2026 · Full-time1-2✓
PAL

Palmeiras

VS
ATL

Atletico MG

Palmeiras vs Atletico MG Prediction

Over2.5 goals
60% confidence

Why we picked this for Palmeiras vs Atletico MG

Over 2.5 goals is our call for Palmeiras against Atletico MG (Serie A), rated at 60% confidence. Matches involving Palmeiras produced 2.6 goals per game over their last 5, and 2 of those went over 2.5. For Atletico MG it is 2.2 goals per game, with 2 of 5 over 2.5. Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 4 of the 10 recent games went over 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Over 2.5.

The head-to-head points the same way: 5 of their last 5 meetings finished over 2.5 goals. At 60%, the recent numbers lean this way, but not strongly. Final score: 1-2. The pick won.

How we make our predictions →

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2.6
avg goals, Palmeiras last 5
2.2
avg goals, Atletico MG last 5
100%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
4 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Palmeiras
Palmeiras 4-1 Athletico Junior
May 29, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Palmeiras 0-1 Cerro Porteno
May 21, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Sporting Cristal 0-2 Palmeiras
May 06, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Cerro Porteno 1-1 Palmeiras
Apr 30, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Palmeiras 2-1 Sporting Cristal
Apr 17, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Atletico MG
Atletico MG 1-0 Puerto Cabello
May 28, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Atletico MG 2-0 Cienciano
May 22, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Juventud 2-2 Atletico MG
May 06, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Cienciano 1-0 Atletico MG
Apr 30, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Atletico MG 2-1 Juventud
Apr 17, 2026
Over 2.5✓

Last 5 meetings

Palmeiras vs Atletico MG, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Jan 28, 2026Atletico MGPalmeiras2-2
Over 2.5✓
Dec 04, 2025Atletico MGPalmeiras0-3
Over 2.5✓
Jul 20, 2025PalmeirasAtletico MG3-2
Over 2.5✓
Sep 28, 2024PalmeirasAtletico MG2-1
Over 2.5✓
Jun 18, 2024Atletico MGPalmeiras0-4
Over 2.5✓