Major League SoccerSaturday, 01 August 2026 · Full-time1-1✕
NEW
New York City
VS
TOR
Toronto FC
New York City vs Toronto FC Prediction
Over2.5 goals
64% confidence
Why this pick
Why we picked this for New York City vs Toronto FC
Our pick for New York City vs Toronto FC in Major League Soccer is Over 2.5 goals, with 64% confidence. Recent form: 3 of New York City's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (2.6 goals per game in total), against 3 of 5 for Toronto FC (2.0 per game). That recent scoring pattern is the main reason behind the pick.
Previous meetings agree, with 4 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending over 2.5. The 64% confidence reflects a real but modest lean in the recent numbers. The match ended 1-1, so Over 2.5 didn't come in.
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2.6
avg goals, New York City last 5
2.0
avg goals, Toronto FC last 5
80%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
6 / 10
combined form matches over
Current form
Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
New York City
New York City 3-1 Chicago Fire
Over 2.5✓Jul 26, 2026
Columbus Crew 1-2 New York City
Over 2.5✓Jul 23, 2026
Nashville 2-1 New York City
Over 2.5✓May 24, 2026
New York Red Bulls 1-1 New York City
Under 2.5✕May 17, 2026
Charlotte FC 0-1 New York City
Under 2.5✕May 14, 2026
Toronto FC
DC United 2-1 Toronto FC
Over 2.5✓Jul 26, 2026
New England Revolution 0-0 Toronto FC
Under 2.5✕Jul 23, 2026
Montreal Impact 0-0 Toronto FC
Under 2.5✕Jul 17, 2026
Chicago Fire 2-1 Toronto FC
Over 2.5✓May 24, 2026
Charlotte FC 3-1 Toronto FC
Over 2.5✓May 17, 2026
Head to head
Last 5 meetings
New York City vs Toronto FC, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 04, 2025 | New York City | Toronto FC | 3-1 | Over 2.5✓ |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Toronto FC | New York City | 0-1 | Under 2.5✕ |
| May 12, 2024 | Toronto FC | New York City | 2-3 | Over 2.5✓ |
| Mar 17, 2024 | New York City | Toronto FC | 2-1 | Over 2.5✓ |
| Sep 24, 2023 | New York City | Toronto FC | 3-0 | Over 2.5✓ |