PSV vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction

Under 3.5 goals is an analyst pick for PSV vs AZ Alkmaar (Super Cup): it goes against the recent numbers below, so it carries no confidence figure. In their last 5 matches, PSV's games produced 4.8 goals on average, 4 of them over 3.5. AZ Alkmaar's games averaged 3.6, with 3 of 5 over the line. The recent numbers point the other way: only 3 of the 10 recent games of these two teams went under 3.5. Recent results can mislead when the teams have been playing very different opposition (another league, much stronger or much weaker sides), and here the analyst expects this match to play differently.

The head-to-head doesn't back it either: only 2 of their last 5 meetings finished under 3.5 goals. Treat it as a judgement call rather than a pick backed by the numbers. The match ended 0-4, so Under 3.5 didn't come in.

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