Paris SG
Aston Villa
Paris SG vs Aston Villa Prediction
Why we picked this for Paris SG vs Aston Villa
Over 3.5 goals is an analyst pick for Paris SG vs Aston Villa (UEFA Super Cup): it goes against the recent numbers below, so it carries no confidence figure. In their last 5 matches, Paris SG's games produced 2.0 goals on average, 0 of them over 3.5. Aston Villa's games averaged 4.0, with 3 of 5 over the line. The recent numbers point the other way: only 3 of the 10 recent games of these two teams went over 3.5. Recent results can mislead when the teams have been playing very different opposition (another league, much stronger or much weaker sides), and here the analyst expects this match to play differently.
History between the two sides fits the pick too: 2 of 2 recent meetings went over 3.5. Treat it as a judgement call rather than a pick backed by the numbers. The match ended 2-1, so Over 3.5 didn't come in.
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Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 3.5 total goals.
Last 2 meetings
Paris SG vs Aston Villa, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2025 | Aston Villa | Paris SG | 3-2 | Over 3.5✓ |
| Apr 09, 2025 | Paris SG | Aston Villa | 3-1 | Over 3.5✓ |