Atletico MG
Gremio
Atletico MG vs Gremio Prediction
Why we picked this for Atletico MG vs Gremio
For this Serie A fixture we go with Over 2.5 goals for Atletico MG vs Gremio, at 52% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Atletico MG's games produced 1.8 goals on average, 1 of them over 2.5. Gremio's games averaged 3.0, with 3 of 5 over the line. Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 4 of the 10 recent games went over 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Over 2.5.
History between the two sides fits the pick too: 5 of 5 recent meetings went over 2.5. With 52% confidence the recent numbers only just favour this side, so this is one of our weaker picks. Final score: 3-0. The pick won.
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Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Last 5 meetings
Atletico MG vs Gremio, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | Gremio | Atletico MG | 2-1 | Over 2.5✓ |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Atletico MG | Gremio | 1-3 | Over 2.5✓ |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Gremio | Atletico MG | 2-1 | Over 2.5✓ |
| Oct 10, 2024 | Atletico MG | Gremio | 2-1 | Over 2.5✓ |
| Sep 01, 2024 | Gremio | Atletico MG | 2-3 | Over 2.5✓ |