Derby County vs Cardiff City Prediction

Under 2.5 goals is an analyst pick for Derby County vs Cardiff City (Championship): it goes against the recent numbers below, so it carries no confidence figure. In their last 5 matches, Derby County's games produced 3.0 goals on average, 4 of them over 2.5. Cardiff City's games averaged 4.4, with 3 of 5 over the line. The recent numbers point the other way: only 3 of the 10 recent games of these two teams went under 2.5. Recent results can mislead when the teams have been playing very different opposition (another league, much stronger or much weaker sides), and here the analyst expects this match to play differently.

History between the two sides fits the pick too: 3 of 5 recent meetings went under 2.5. Treat it as a judgement call rather than a pick backed by the numbers. The match ended 2-2, so Under 2.5 didn't come in.

How we make our predictions →