Home/Germany Tips/Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern Munich
Super CupSaturday, 22 August 2026 · Full-time1-2✕
BOR

Borussia Dortmund

VS
BAY

Bayern Munich

Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern Munich Prediction

Over3.5 goals
Analyst pickrecent numbers: 40% on this side

Why we picked this for Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern Munich

Over 3.5 goals is an analyst pick for Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern Munich (Super Cup): it goes against the recent numbers below, so it carries no confidence figure. Recent form: 2 of Borussia Dortmund's last 5 games went over 3.5 goals (3.0 goals per game in total), against 2 of 5 for Bayern Munich (3.6 per game). Recent form is split here (4 of 10 games went over 3.5), so it doesn't settle the call on its own.

The head-to-head doesn't back it either: only 2 of their last 5 meetings finished over 3.5 goals. Treat it as a judgement call rather than a pick backed by the numbers. The match ended 1-2, so Over 3.5 didn't come in.

How we make our predictions →

Advertisement

Recommended bookmakers

Partners offering strong markets for over/under betting. 18+, terms apply.

1xbet
Claim bonus →
New customers only. 18+. T&Cs apply.
22bet
Claim bonus →
New customers only. 18+. T&Cs apply.
GG.bet
Claim bonus →
New customers only. 18+. T&Cs apply.
3.0
avg goals, Borussia Dortmund last 5
3.6
avg goals, Bayern Munich last 5
40%
last 5 H2H went over 3.5
4 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 3.5 total goals.

Borussia Dortmund
Werder Bremen 0-2 Borussia Dortmund
May 16, 2026
Under 3.5✕
Borussia Dortmund 3-2 Eintracht Frankfurt
May 08, 2026
Over 3.5✓
Monchengladbach 1-0 Borussia Dortmund
May 03, 2026
Under 3.5✕
Borussia Dortmund 4-0 Freiburg
Apr 26, 2026
Over 3.5✓
TSG Hoffenheim 2-1 Borussia Dortmund
Apr 18, 2026
Under 3.5✕
Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich 3-0 Stuttgart
May 23, 2026
Under 3.5✕
Bayern Munich 5-1 FC Koln
May 16, 2026
Over 3.5✓
VfL Wolfsburg 0-1 Bayern Munich
May 09, 2026
Under 3.5✕
Bayern Munich 1-1 Paris SG
May 06, 2026
Under 3.5✕
Bayern Munich 3-3 FC Heidenheim
May 02, 2026
Over 3.5✓

Last 5 meetings

Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern Munich, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Feb 28, 2026Borussia DortmundBayern Munich2-3
Over 3.5✓
Oct 18, 2025Bayern MunichBorussia Dortmund2-1
Under 3.5✕
Apr 12, 2025Bayern MunichBorussia Dortmund2-2
Over 3.5✓
Nov 30, 2024Borussia DortmundBayern Munich1-1
Under 3.5✕
Mar 30, 2024Bayern MunichBorussia Dortmund0-2
Under 3.5✕