Home/Spain Tips/Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal
Primera DivisionSunday, 23 August 2026 · Full-time2-2✓
ATL

Atletico Madrid

VS
VIL

Villarreal

Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal Prediction

Over2.5 goals
52% confidence

Why we picked this for Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal

Over 2.5 goals is our call for Atletico Madrid against Villarreal (Primera Division), rated at 52% confidence. Matches involving Atletico Madrid produced 2.6 goals per game over their last 5, and 2 of those went over 2.5. For Villarreal it is 3.8 goals per game, with 3 of 5 over 2.5. Recent form is split here (5 of 10 games went over 2.5), so it doesn't settle the call on its own.

The head-to-head points the same way: 3 of their last 5 meetings finished over 2.5 goals. At 52%, the recent numbers are close to even, so this is one of our weaker picks; treat it with caution. The match ended 2-2, so Over 2.5 landed.

How we make our predictions →

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2.6
avg goals, Atletico Madrid last 5
3.8
avg goals, Villarreal last 5
60%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
5 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid 2-0 Malaga
Aug 19, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Villarreal 5-1 Atletico Madrid
May 24, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Atletico Madrid 1-0 Girona
May 17, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Osasuna 1-2 Atletico Madrid
May 12, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Atletico Madrid 0-1 Celta Vigo
May 09, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Villarreal
Racing de Santander 2-2 Villarreal
Aug 16, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Villarreal 5-1 Atletico Madrid
May 24, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Rayo Vallecano 2-0 Villarreal
May 17, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Villarreal 2-3 Sevilla
May 13, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Mallorca 1-1 Villarreal
May 10, 2026
Under 2.5✕

Last 5 meetings

Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
May 24, 2026VillarrealAtletico Madrid5-1
Over 2.5✓
Sep 13, 2025Atletico MadridVillarreal2-0
Under 2.5✕
Jan 25, 2025Atletico MadridVillarreal1-1
Under 2.5✕
Aug 19, 2024VillarrealAtletico Madrid2-2
Over 2.5✓
Apr 01, 2024VillarrealAtletico Madrid1-2
Over 2.5✓