Premier LeagueSunday, 23 August 2026 · Full-time2-2✓
NEW
Newcastle
VS
LIV
Liverpool
Newcastle vs Liverpool Prediction
Over2.5 goals
56% confidence
Why this pick
Why we picked this for Newcastle vs Liverpool
Our pick for Newcastle vs Liverpool in Premier League is Over 2.5 goals, with 56% confidence. Recent form: 2 of Newcastle's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (2.6 goals per game in total), against 3 of 5 for Liverpool (3.8 per game). Recent form is split here (5 of 10 games went over 2.5), so it doesn't settle the call on its own.
Previous meetings agree, with 4 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending over 2.5. The 56% confidence reflects a real but modest lean in the recent numbers. The match ended 2-2, so Over 2.5 landed.
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2.6
avg goals, Newcastle last 5
3.8
avg goals, Liverpool last 5
80%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
5 / 10
combined form matches over
Current form
Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Newcastle
Fulham 2-0 Newcastle
Under 2.5✕May 24, 2026
Newcastle 3-1 West Ham United
Over 2.5✓May 17, 2026
Nottm Forest 1-1 Newcastle
Under 2.5✕May 10, 2026
Newcastle 3-1 Brighton
Over 2.5✓May 02, 2026
Arsenal 1-0 Newcastle
Under 2.5✕Apr 25, 2026
Liverpool
Liverpool 1-1 Brentford
Under 2.5✕May 24, 2026
Aston Villa 4-2 Liverpool
Over 2.5✓May 15, 2026
Liverpool 1-1 Chelsea
Under 2.5✕May 09, 2026
Manchester United 3-2 Liverpool
Over 2.5✓May 03, 2026
Liverpool 3-1 Crystal Palace
Over 2.5✓Apr 25, 2026
Head to head
Last 5 meetings
Newcastle vs Liverpool, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | Liverpool | Newcastle | 4-1 | Over 2.5✓ |
| Aug 25, 2025 | Newcastle | Liverpool | 2-3 | Over 2.5✓ |
| Feb 26, 2025 | Liverpool | Newcastle | 2-0 | Under 2.5✕ |
| Dec 04, 2024 | Newcastle | Liverpool | 3-3 | Over 2.5✓ |
| Jan 01, 2024 | Liverpool | Newcastle | 4-2 | Over 2.5✓ |