Home/England Tips/Birmingham vs Brentford
EFL TrophyTuesday, 25 August 2026 · Full-time1-6✕
BIR

Birmingham

VS
BRE

Brentford

Birmingham vs Brentford Prediction

Under2.5 goals
Analyst pickrecent numbers: 44% on this side

Why we picked this for Birmingham vs Brentford

For Birmingham vs Brentford (EFL Trophy) our analyst goes with Under 2.5 goals. This is a judgement call against the recent numbers, which is why no confidence figure is shown. In their last 5 matches, Birmingham's games produced 2.4 goals on average, 3 of them over 2.5. Brentford's games averaged 3.0, with 4 of 5 over the line. On recent form this pick looks wrong: just 3 of the teams' last 10 games went under 2.5. The analyst's view is that those games, against different levels of opposition, say little about this particular matchup.

History between the two sides fits the pick too: 5 of 5 recent meetings went under 2.5. It is a judgement call, not a numbers call, and it is tracked in our record like every other pick. Final score: 1-6. The pick lost.

How we make our predictions →

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2.4
avg goals, Birmingham last 5
3.0
avg goals, Brentford last 5
0%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
7 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Birmingham
Birmingham 2-2 Bristol City
Aug 22, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Sheffield United 0-0 Birmingham
Aug 15, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Portsmouth 1-1 Birmingham
May 02, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Birmingham 2-1 Bristol City
Apr 25, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Birmingham 2-1 Preston North End
Apr 22, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Brentford
Brentford 3-0 Tottenham Hotspur
Aug 22, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Liverpool 1-1 Brentford
May 24, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Brentford 2-2 Crystal Palace
May 17, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Manchester City 3-0 Brentford
May 09, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Brentford 3-0 West Ham United
May 02, 2026
Over 2.5✕

Last 5 meetings

Birmingham vs Brentford, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Apr 06, 2021BrentfordBirmingham0-0
Under 2.5✓
Sep 12, 2020BirminghamBrentford1-0
Under 2.5✓
Feb 15, 2020BirminghamBrentford1-1
Under 2.5✓
Aug 03, 2019BrentfordBirmingham0-1
Under 2.5✓
Dec 29, 2018BirminghamBrentford0-0
Under 2.5✓