Home/UEFA Tips/Freiburg vs Motherwell
Conference LeagueThursday, 27 August 2026 · Full-time4-1✕
FRE

Freiburg

VS
MOT

Motherwell

Freiburg vs Motherwell Prediction

Under3.5 goals
Analyst pickrecent numbers: 40% on this side

Why we picked this for Freiburg vs Motherwell

For Freiburg vs Motherwell (Conference League) our analyst goes with Under 3.5 goals. This is a judgement call against the recent numbers, which is why no confidence figure is shown. Matches involving Freiburg produced 4.6 goals per game over their last 5, and 4 of those went over 3.5. For Motherwell it is 2.2 goals per game, with 1 of 5 over 3.5. Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 5 of the 10 recent games went under 3.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Under 3.5.

The head-to-head doesn't back it either: only 0 of their last 1 meetings finished under 3.5 goals. It is a judgement call, not a numbers call, and it is tracked in our record like every other pick. Final score: 4-1. The pick lost.

How we make our predictions →

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4.6
avg goals, Freiburg last 5
2.2
avg goals, Motherwell last 5
100%
last 1 H2H went over 3.5
5 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 3.5 total goals.

Freiburg
Fortuna Dusseldorf 1-5 Freiburg
Aug 23, 2026
Over 3.5✕
Motherwell 1-3 Freiburg
Aug 20, 2026
Over 3.5✕
Freiburg 0-3 Aston Villa
May 20, 2026
Under 3.5✓
Freiburg 4-1 RB Leipzig
May 16, 2026
Over 3.5✕
Hamburger 3-2 Freiburg
May 10, 2026
Over 3.5✕
Motherwell
Motherwell 1-3 Freiburg
Aug 20, 2026
Over 3.5✕
Motherwell 2-0 HJK Helsinki
Aug 13, 2026
Under 3.5✓
Motherwell 0-0 Falkirk
Aug 09, 2026
Under 3.5✓
HJK Helsinki 1-1 Motherwell
Aug 06, 2026
Under 3.5✓
Hibernian 1-2 Motherwell
Aug 02, 2026
Under 3.5✓

Last meeting

Freiburg vs Motherwell, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Aug 20, 2026MotherwellFreiburg1-3
Over 3.5✕