Home/Portugal Tips/Nacional vs Estrela da Amadora
Primeira LigaSunday, 30 August 2026 · Full-time2-3✕
NAC

Nacional

VS
EST

Estrela da Amadora

Nacional vs Estrela da Amadora Prediction

Under2.5 goals
60% confidence

Why we picked this for Nacional vs Estrela da Amadora

Our pick for Nacional vs Estrela da Amadora in Primeira Liga is Under 2.5 goals, with 60% confidence. Recent form: 1 of Nacional's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (2.2 goals per game in total), against 4 of 5 for Estrela da Amadora (3.4 per game). Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 5 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Under 2.5.

Previous meetings agree, with 5 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending under 2.5. At 60%, the recent numbers lean this way, but not strongly. Final score: 2-3. The pick lost.

How we make our predictions →

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2.2
avg goals, Nacional last 5
3.4
avg goals, Estrela da Amadora last 5
0%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
5 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Nacional
Vitoria Guimaraes 1-0 Nacional
Aug 23, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Nacional 2-0 Estoril
Aug 16, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Santa Clara 2-2 Nacional
Aug 10, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Nacional 2-0 Vitoria Guimaraes
May 16, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Santa Clara 2-0 Nacional
May 11, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Estrela da Amadora
Alverca 2-2 Estrela da Amadora
Aug 15, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Estrela da Amadora 2-2 Sporting Lisbon
Aug 08, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Sporting de Braga 2-2 Estrela da Amadora
May 16, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Estrela da Amadora 0-0 Famalicao
May 11, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Moreirense 3-2 Estrela da Amadora
May 02, 2026
Over 2.5✕

Last 5 meetings

Nacional vs Estrela da Amadora, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Apr 04, 2026NacionalEstrela da Amadora2-0
Under 2.5✓
Nov 09, 2025Estrela da AmadoraNacional1-1
Under 2.5✓
Apr 06, 2025NacionalEstrela da Amadora0-1
Under 2.5✓
Nov 10, 2024Estrela da AmadoraNacional2-0
Under 2.5✓
May 21, 2023Estrela da AmadoraNacional0-1
Under 2.5✓