Premier LeagueSunday, 30 August 2026 · Full-time4-3✓
CHE
Chelsea
VS
BRI
Brighton
Chelsea vs Brighton Prediction
Over2.5 goals
68% confidence
Why this pick
Why we picked this for Chelsea vs Brighton
Over 2.5 goals is our call for Chelsea against Brighton (Premier League), rated at 68% confidence. Matches involving Chelsea produced 2.8 goals per game over their last 5, and 3 of those went over 2.5. For Brighton it is 2.4 goals per game, with 3 of 5 over 2.5. The form of both teams backs the call.
The head-to-head points the same way: 5 of their last 5 meetings finished over 2.5 goals. At 68%, the recent numbers lean this way, but not strongly. Final score: 4-3. The pick won.
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2.8
avg goals, Chelsea last 5
2.4
avg goals, Brighton last 5
100%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
6 / 10
combined form matches over
Current form
Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Chelsea
Fulham 2-3 Chelsea
Over 2.5✓Aug 24, 2026
Sunderland 2-1 Chelsea
Over 2.5✓May 24, 2026
Chelsea 2-1 Tottenham Hotspur
Over 2.5✓May 19, 2026
Chelsea 0-1 Manchester City
Under 2.5✕May 16, 2026
Liverpool 1-1 Chelsea
Under 2.5✕May 09, 2026
Brighton
Brighton 4-0 Tromso
Over 2.5✓Aug 27, 2026
Brighton 4-0 Aston Villa
Over 2.5✓Aug 23, 2026
Tromso 0-0 Brighton
Under 2.5✕Aug 20, 2026
Brighton 0-3 Manchester United
Over 2.5✓May 24, 2026
Leeds United 1-0 Brighton
Under 2.5✕May 17, 2026
Head to head
Last 5 meetings
Chelsea vs Brighton, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2026 | Brighton | Chelsea | 3-0 | Over 2.5✓ |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Chelsea | Brighton | 1-3 | Over 2.5✓ |
| Feb 14, 2025 | Brighton | Chelsea | 3-0 | Over 2.5✓ |
| Feb 08, 2025 | Brighton | Chelsea | 2-1 | Over 2.5✓ |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Chelsea | Brighton | 4-2 | Over 2.5✓ |