Premier LeagueMonday, 31 August 2026 · Full-time0-1✕
AST
Aston Villa
VS
ARS
Arsenal
Aston Villa vs Arsenal Prediction
Over2.5 goals
68% confidence
Why this pick
Why we picked this for Aston Villa vs Arsenal
Our pick for Aston Villa vs Arsenal in Premier League is Over 2.5 goals, with 68% confidence. Recent form: 5 of Aston Villa's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (4.0 goals per game in total), against 2 of 5 for Arsenal (2.0 per game). That recent scoring pattern is the main reason behind the pick.
Previous meetings agree, with 3 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending over 2.5. At 68%, the recent numbers lean this way, but not strongly. Final score: 0-1. The pick lost.
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4.0
avg goals, Aston Villa last 5
2.0
avg goals, Arsenal last 5
60%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
7 / 10
combined form matches over
Current form
Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Aston Villa
Brighton 4-0 Aston Villa
Over 2.5✓Aug 23, 2026
Manchester City 1-2 Aston Villa
Over 2.5✓May 24, 2026
Freiburg 0-3 Aston Villa
Over 2.5✓May 20, 2026
Aston Villa 4-2 Liverpool
Over 2.5✓May 15, 2026
Burnley 2-2 Aston Villa
Over 2.5✓May 10, 2026
Arsenal
Arsenal 3-0 Coventry City
Over 2.5✓Aug 21, 2026
Paris SG 1-1 Arsenal
Under 2.5✕May 30, 2026
Crystal Palace 1-2 Arsenal
Over 2.5✓May 24, 2026
Arsenal 1-0 Burnley
Under 2.5✕May 18, 2026
West Ham United 0-1 Arsenal
Under 2.5✕May 10, 2026
Head to head
Last 5 meetings
Aston Villa vs Arsenal, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2025 | Arsenal | Aston Villa | 4-1 | Over 2.5✓ |
| Dec 06, 2025 | Aston Villa | Arsenal | 2-1 | Over 2.5✓ |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Arsenal | Aston Villa | 2-2 | Over 2.5✓ |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Aston Villa | Arsenal | 0-2 | Under 2.5✕ |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Arsenal | Aston Villa | 0-2 | Under 2.5✕ |