ChampionshipTuesday, 01 September 2026 · Full-time1-1✕
BIR
Birmingham
VS
SOU
Southampton
Birmingham vs Southampton Prediction
Over2.5 goals
63% confidence
Why this pick
Why we picked this for Birmingham vs Southampton
Our pick for Birmingham vs Southampton in Championship is Over 2.5 goals, with 63% confidence. Recent form: 3 of Birmingham's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (2.4 goals per game in total), against 3 of 5 for Southampton (3.0 per game). That recent scoring pattern is the main reason behind the pick.
Previous meetings agree, with 3 of the last 4 head-to-heads ending over 2.5. The 63% confidence reflects a real but modest lean in the recent numbers. The match ended 1-1, so Over 2.5 didn't come in.
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2.4
avg goals, Birmingham last 5
3.0
avg goals, Southampton last 5
75%
last 4 H2H went over 2.5
6 / 10
combined form matches over
Current form
Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Birmingham
Wrexham 1-2 Birmingham
Over 2.5✓Aug 28, 2026
Birmingham 2-2 Bristol City
Over 2.5✓Aug 22, 2026
Sheffield United 0-0 Birmingham
Under 2.5✕Aug 15, 2026
Portsmouth 1-1 Birmingham
Under 2.5✕May 02, 2026
Birmingham 2-1 Bristol City
Over 2.5✓Apr 25, 2026
Southampton
Southampton 5-1 Millwall
Over 2.5✓Aug 29, 2026
Southampton 3-1 Stoke City
Over 2.5✓Aug 22, 2026
Watford 2-1 Southampton
Over 2.5✓Aug 16, 2026
Southampton 1-1 Middlesbrough
Under 2.5✕May 12, 2026
Middlesbrough 0-0 Southampton
Under 2.5✕May 09, 2026
Head to head
Last 4 meetings
Birmingham vs Southampton, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2025 | Birmingham | Southampton | 1-1 | Under 2.5✕ |
| Dec 06, 2025 | Southampton | Birmingham | 3-1 | Over 2.5✓ |
| Mar 02, 2024 | Birmingham | Southampton | 3-4 | Over 2.5✓ |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Southampton | Birmingham | 3-1 | Over 2.5✓ |