EredivisieSaturday, 05 September 2026 · Full-time1-3✓
AJA

Ajax

VS
PSV

PSV

Ajax vs PSV Prediction

Over3.5 goals
84% confidence

Why we picked this for Ajax vs PSV

Our pick for Ajax vs PSV in Eredivisie is Over 3.5 goals, with 84% confidence. Recent form: 5 of Ajax's last 5 games went over 3.5 goals (5.2 goals per game in total), against 4 of 5 for PSV (5.2 per game). That recent scoring pattern is the main reason behind the pick.

Previous meetings agree, with 3 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending over 3.5. A confidence of 84% means the recent numbers clearly point to Over 3.5. The match ended 1-3, so Over 3.5 landed.

How we make our predictions →

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5.2
avg goals, Ajax last 5
5.2
avg goals, PSV last 5
60%
last 5 H2H went over 3.5
9 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 3.5 total goals.

Ajax
Stormvogels Telstar 0-4 Ajax
Aug 30, 2026
Over 3.5✓
Ajax 5-3 FC Sion
Aug 27, 2026
Over 3.5✓
FC Sion 2-4 Ajax
Aug 20, 2026
Over 3.5✓
Ajax 2-2 Heerenveen
Aug 16, 2026
Over 3.5✓
Shelbourne 2-2 Ajax
Aug 13, 2026
Over 3.5✓
PSV
Utrecht 1-6 PSV
Aug 30, 2026
Over 3.5✓
PSV 5-1 Groningen
Aug 23, 2026
Over 3.5✓
Excelsior Rotterdam 1-2 PSV
Aug 15, 2026
Under 3.5✕
PSV 2-2 Fortuna Sittard
Aug 08, 2026
Over 3.5✓
PSV 5-1 Twente
May 17, 2026
Over 3.5✓

Last 5 meetings

Ajax vs PSV, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
May 02, 2026AjaxPSV2-2
Over 3.5✓
Sep 21, 2025PSVAjax2-2
Over 3.5✓
Mar 30, 2025PSVAjax0-2
Under 3.5✕
Nov 02, 2024AjaxPSV3-2
Over 3.5✓
Feb 03, 2024AjaxPSV1-1
Under 3.5✕