Arsenal
Chelsea
Arsenal vs Chelsea Prediction
Why we picked this for Arsenal vs Chelsea
For Arsenal vs Chelsea (Premier League) our analyst goes with Under 2.5 goals. This is a judgement call against the recent numbers, which is why no confidence figure is shown. Matches involving Arsenal produced 2.0 goals per game over their last 5, and 2 of those went over 2.5. For Chelsea it is 3.8 goals per game, with 4 of 5 over 2.5. Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 4 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Under 2.5.
The head-to-head points the same way: 3 of their last 5 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. It is a judgement call, not a numbers call, and it is tracked in our record like every other pick. Final score: 2-1. The pick lost.
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Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Last 5 meetings
Arsenal vs Chelsea, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 01, 2026 | Arsenal | Chelsea | 2-1 | Over 2.5✕ |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Chelsea | Arsenal | 1-1 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Arsenal | Chelsea | 1-0 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Chelsea | Arsenal | 1-1 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Apr 23, 2024 | Arsenal | Chelsea | 5-0 | Over 2.5✕ |