Home/Italy Tips/Lazio vs AC Milan
Serie ASaturday, 12 September 2026 · Full-time2-2✕
LAZ

Lazio

VS
AC

AC Milan

Lazio vs AC Milan Prediction

Under2.5 goals
52% confidence

Why we picked this for Lazio vs AC Milan

Under 2.5 goals is our call for Lazio against AC Milan (Serie A), rated at 52% confidence. Matches involving Lazio produced 2.0 goals per game over their last 5, and 2 of those went over 2.5. For AC Milan it is 2.6 goals per game, with 3 of 5 over 2.5. Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 5 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Under 2.5.

The head-to-head points the same way: 3 of their last 5 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. With 52% confidence the recent numbers only just favour this side, so this is one of our weaker picks. Final score: 2-2. The pick lost.

How we make our predictions →

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2.0
avg goals, Lazio last 5
2.6
avg goals, AC Milan last 5
40%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
5 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Lazio
Udinese Calcio 1-2 Lazio
Sep 07, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Lazio 1-0 Genoa
Aug 30, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Bologna 0-1 Lazio
Aug 24, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Lazio 0-2 AC Mantova
Aug 16, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Lazio 2-1 Pisa 1909
May 23, 2026
Over 2.5✕
AC Milan
Juventus 1-1 AC Milan
Sep 06, 2026
Under 2.5✓
AC Milan 2-0 Venezia
Aug 28, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Torino 1-2 AC Milan
Aug 23, 2026
Over 2.5✕
AC Milan 1-2 Cagliari Calcio
May 24, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Genoa 1-2 AC Milan
May 17, 2026
Over 2.5✕

Last 5 meetings

Lazio vs AC Milan, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Mar 15, 2026LazioAC Milan1-0
Under 2.5✓
Dec 04, 2025LazioAC Milan1-0
Under 2.5✓
Nov 29, 2025AC MilanLazio1-0
Under 2.5✓
Mar 02, 2025AC MilanLazio1-2
Over 2.5✕
Aug 31, 2024LazioAC Milan2-2
Over 2.5✕