Home/Brazil Tips/Atletico MG vs Fluminense RJ
Serie ASaturday, 12 September 2026 · Full-time3-1✓
ATL

Atletico MG

VS
FLU

Fluminense RJ

Atletico MG vs Fluminense RJ Prediction

Over2.5 goals
Analyst pickrecent numbers: 32% on this side

Why we picked this for Atletico MG vs Fluminense RJ

Over 2.5 goals is an analyst pick for Atletico MG vs Fluminense RJ (Serie A): it goes against the recent numbers below, so it carries no confidence figure. Matches involving Atletico MG produced 2.0 goals per game over their last 5, and 1 of those went over 2.5. For Fluminense RJ it is 1.8 goals per game, with 2 of 5 over 2.5. The recent numbers point the other way: only 3 of the 10 recent games of these two teams went over 2.5. Recent results can mislead when the teams have been playing very different opposition (another league, much stronger or much weaker sides), and here the analyst expects this match to play differently.

The head-to-head doesn't back it either: only 2 of their last 5 meetings finished over 2.5 goals. Treat it as a judgement call rather than a pick backed by the numbers. The match ended 3-1, so Over 2.5 landed.

How we make our predictions →

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2.0
avg goals, Atletico MG last 5
1.8
avg goals, Fluminense RJ last 5
40%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
3 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Atletico MG
Santos SP 2-0 Atletico MG
Sep 09, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Atletico MG 2-2 Bragantino
Aug 19, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Bragantino 0-1 Atletico MG
Aug 12, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Atletico MG 1-0 Puerto Cabello
May 28, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Atletico MG 2-0 Cienciano
May 22, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Fluminense RJ
Fluminense RJ 2-0 Platense
Sep 08, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Independiente Rivadavia 0-0 Fluminense RJ
Aug 18, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Fluminense RJ 0-0 Independiente Rivadavia
Aug 11, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Fluminense RJ 3-1 Deportivo La Guaira
May 28, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Fluminense RJ 2-1 Club Bolivar
May 20, 2026
Over 2.5✓

Last 5 meetings

Atletico MG vs Fluminense RJ, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Oct 04, 2025Fluminense RJAtletico MG3-0
Over 2.5✓
May 11, 2025Atletico MGFluminense RJ3-2
Over 2.5✓
Sep 26, 2024Atletico MGFluminense RJ2-0
Under 2.5✕
Sep 19, 2024Fluminense RJAtletico MG1-0
Under 2.5✕
Aug 25, 2024Atletico MGFluminense RJ0-2
Under 2.5✕