Sarmiento de Junin vs Belgrano Prediction

For Sarmiento de Junin vs Belgrano (Primera Division) our analyst goes with Over 2.5 goals. This is a judgement call against the recent numbers, which is why no confidence figure is shown. Matches involving Sarmiento de Junin produced 2.8 goals per game over their last 5, and 2 of those went over 2.5. For Belgrano it is 1.6 goals per game, with 1 of 5 over 2.5. On recent form this pick looks wrong: just 3 of the teams' last 10 games went over 2.5. The analyst's view is that those games, against different levels of opposition, say little about this particular matchup.

The head-to-head doesn't back it either: only 2 of their last 5 meetings finished over 2.5 goals. It is a judgement call, not a numbers call, and it is tracked in our record like every other pick. Final score: 1-1. The pick lost.

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