Home/Portugal Tips/Moreirense vs Maritimo
Primeira LigaMonday, 14 September 2026 · Full-time3-1✕
MOR

Moreirense

VS
MAR

Maritimo

Moreirense vs Maritimo Prediction

Under2.5 goals
Analyst pickrecent numbers: 32% on this side

Why we picked this for Moreirense vs Maritimo

Under 2.5 goals is an analyst pick for Moreirense vs Maritimo (Primeira Liga): it goes against the recent numbers below, so it carries no confidence figure. Recent form: 4 of Moreirense's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (3.2 goals per game in total), against 4 of 5 for Maritimo (2.8 per game). The recent numbers point the other way: only 2 of the 10 recent games of these two teams went under 2.5. Recent results can mislead when the teams have been playing very different opposition (another league, much stronger or much weaker sides), and here the analyst expects this match to play differently.

Previous meetings agree, with 4 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending under 2.5. Treat it as a judgement call rather than a pick backed by the numbers. The match ended 3-1, so Under 2.5 didn't come in.

How we make our predictions →

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3.2
avg goals, Moreirense last 5
2.8
avg goals, Maritimo last 5
20%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
8 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Moreirense
Moreirense 0-4 Benfica
Sep 09, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Porto 2-1 Moreirense
Sep 04, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Casa Pia Atletico 0-1 Moreirense
Aug 30, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Arouca 4-0 Moreirense
Aug 16, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Moreirense 2-2 Sporting de Braga
Aug 09, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Maritimo
Maritimo 0-3 Benfica
Sep 05, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Arouca 2-1 Maritimo
Aug 29, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Maritimo 2-2 Academica Viseu
Aug 22, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Famalicao 1-2 Maritimo
Aug 16, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Maritimo 1-0 Casa Pia Atletico
Aug 08, 2026
Under 2.5✓

Last 5 meetings

Moreirense vs Maritimo, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Mar 06, 2022MoreirenseMaritimo0-1
Under 2.5✓
Oct 01, 2021MaritimoMoreirense0-0
Under 2.5✓
Mar 07, 2021MaritimoMoreirense0-2
Under 2.5✓
Oct 25, 2020MoreirenseMaritimo2-1
Over 2.5✕
Mar 08, 2020MoreirenseMaritimo2-0
Under 2.5✓