Crewe Alexandra vs Aston Villa U21 Prediction

For Crewe Alexandra vs Aston Villa U21 (EFL Trophy) our analyst goes with Over 2.5 goals. This is a judgement call against the recent numbers, which is why no confidence figure is shown. Matches involving Crewe Alexandra produced 2.0 goals per game over their last 5, and 1 of those went over 2.5. For Aston Villa U21 it is 5.0 goals per game, with 1 of 1 over 2.5. On recent form this pick looks wrong: just 2 of the teams' last 6 games went over 2.5. The analyst's view is that those games, against different levels of opposition, say little about this particular matchup.

The two sides haven't met recently, so head-to-head history plays no part in this call. It is a judgement call, not a numbers call, and it is tracked in our record like every other pick. Final score: 4-1. The pick won.

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