Home/International Tips/Senegal vs Mozambique
African Cup NationsFriday, 25 September 2026 · Full-time1-1✕
SEN

Senegal

VS
MOZ

Mozambique

Senegal vs Mozambique Prediction

Over2.5 goals
74% confidence

Why we picked this for Senegal vs Mozambique

For this African Cup Nations fixture we go with Over 2.5 goals for Senegal vs Mozambique, at 74% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Senegal's games produced 4.0 goals on average, 4 of them over 2.5. Mozambique's games averaged 3.0, with 3 of 5 over the line. Current form is what points us towards Over 2.5.

The head-to-head points the other way: only 1 of their last 3 meetings finished over 2.5 goals. Older meetings say less about how these teams play now, so recent form counts for more in our numbers. At 74%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 1-1. The pick lost.

How we make our predictions →

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4.0
avg goals, Senegal last 5
3.0
avg goals, Mozambique last 5
33%
last 3 H2H went over 2.5
7 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Senegal
Mozambique 1-1 Senegal
Sep 25, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Belgium 2-2 Senegal
Jul 01, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Senegal 5-0 Iraq
Jun 26, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Norway 3-2 Senegal
Jun 23, 2026
Over 2.5✓
France 3-1 Senegal
Jun 16, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Mozambique
Mozambique 1-1 Senegal
Sep 25, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Nigeria 4-0 Mozambique
Jan 05, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Mozambique 1-2 Cameroon
Dec 31, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Gabon 2-3 Mozambique
Dec 28, 2025
Over 2.5✓
Ivory Coast 1-0 Mozambique
Dec 24, 2025
Under 2.5✕

Last 3 meetings

Senegal vs Mozambique, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Sep 25, 2026MozambiqueSenegal1-1
Under 2.5✕
Mar 28, 2023MozambiqueSenegal0-1
Under 2.5✕
Mar 24, 2023SenegalMozambique5-1
Over 2.5✓