Home/Netherlands Tips/Heerenveen vs Excelsior Rotterdam
EredivisieFriday, 16 October 2026 · Kick-off 19:00 UTC
HEE

Heerenveen

VS
EXC

Excelsior Rotterdam

Heerenveen vs Excelsior Rotterdam Prediction

Under3.5 goals
52% confidence
Best odds 1.74 @ SpinbetterBet now @ 1.74 →

Why we picked this for Heerenveen vs Excelsior Rotterdam

For this Eredivisie fixture we go with Under 3.5 goals for Heerenveen vs Excelsior Rotterdam, at 52% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Heerenveen's games produced 3.0 goals on average, 3 of them over 3.5. For Excelsior Rotterdam it is 4.0 goals per game and 3 of 5 over the line. Form on its own doesn't settle this one: the numbers are split, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Under 3.5.

History between the two sides fits the pick too: 5 of 5 recent meetings went under 3.5. With 52% confidence the edge is small, so this is one of our weaker picks.

How we make our predictions →

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3.0
avg goals, Heerenveen last 5
4.0
avg goals, Excelsior Rotterdam last 5
0%
last 5 H2H went over 3.5
6 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 3.5 total goals.

Heerenveen
PSV 2-0 Heerenveen
Oct 09, 2026
Under 3.5✓
Sparta Rotterdam 0-4 Heerenveen
Sep 19, 2026
Over 3.5✕
Heerenveen 0-0 Stormvogels Telstar
Sep 13, 2026
Under 3.5✓
Heerenveen 2-3 AZ Alkmaar
Sep 06, 2026
Over 3.5✕
Willem II 2-2 Heerenveen
Aug 30, 2026
Over 3.5✕
Excelsior Rotterdam
Excelsior Rotterdam 1-5 Groningen
Oct 11, 2026
Over 3.5✕
Ajax 2-2 Excelsior Rotterdam
Sep 19, 2026
Over 3.5✕
Excelsior Rotterdam 1-2 Utrecht
Sep 13, 2026
Under 3.5✓
NEC 2-2 Excelsior Rotterdam
Sep 08, 2026
Over 3.5✕
Willem II 0-3 Excelsior Rotterdam
Sep 05, 2026
Under 3.5✓

Last 5 meetings

Heerenveen vs Excelsior Rotterdam, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Mar 07, 2026Excelsior RotterdamHeerenveen1-2
Under 3.5✓
Oct 04, 2025HeerenveenExcelsior Rotterdam2-1
Under 3.5✓
Jan 19, 2024Excelsior RotterdamHeerenveen3-0
Under 3.5✓
Sep 23, 2023HeerenveenExcelsior Rotterdam0-3
Under 3.5✓
May 13, 2023HeerenveenExcelsior Rotterdam0-0
Under 3.5✓

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