Home/England Tips/Middlesbrough vs Cardiff City
ChampionshipSaturday, 17 October 2026 · Kick-off 12:30 UTC
MID

Middlesbrough

VS
CAR

Cardiff City

Middlesbrough vs Cardiff City Prediction

Under3.5 goals
Analyst pickrecent numbers: 44% on this side
Best odds 1.87 @ SpinbetterBet now @ 1.87 →

Why we picked this for Middlesbrough vs Cardiff City

Under 3.5 goals is an analyst pick for Middlesbrough vs Cardiff City (Championship): it goes against the recent numbers below, so it carries no confidence figure. Recent form: 4 of Middlesbrough's last 5 games went over 3.5 goals (4.2 goals per game in total), against 2 of 5 for Cardiff City (3.2 per game). Recent form is split here (4 of 10 games went under 3.5), so it doesn't settle the call on its own.

Previous meetings agree, with 3 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending under 3.5. Treat it as a judgement call rather than a pick backed by the numbers.

How we make our predictions →

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4.2
avg goals, Middlesbrough last 5
3.2
avg goals, Cardiff City last 5
40%
last 5 H2H went over 3.5
6 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 3.5 total goals.

Middlesbrough
Stoke City 2-3 Middlesbrough
Oct 13, 2026
Over 3.5✕
Middlesbrough 1-0 Wolverhampton Wanderers
Oct 10, 2026
Under 3.5✓
Birmingham 2-2 Middlesbrough
Sep 19, 2026
Over 3.5✕
Middlesbrough 2-2 Millwall
Sep 15, 2026
Over 3.5✕
Middlesbrough 4-3 Norwich
Sep 12, 2026
Over 3.5✕
Cardiff City
Cardiff City 5-1 Watford
Oct 13, 2026
Over 3.5✕
Blackburn Rovers 2-1 Cardiff City
Oct 10, 2026
Under 3.5✓
Cardiff City 3-1 Charlton Athletic
Sep 19, 2026
Over 3.5✕
Bolton 1-0 Cardiff City
Sep 12, 2026
Under 3.5✓
Cardiff City 1-1 Stoke City
Sep 08, 2026
Under 3.5✓

Last 5 meetings

Middlesbrough vs Cardiff City, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Jan 04, 2025MiddlesbroughCardiff City1-1
Under 3.5✓
Aug 31, 2024Cardiff CityMiddlesbrough0-2
Under 3.5✓
Apr 27, 2024Cardiff CityMiddlesbrough1-4
Over 3.5✕
Oct 03, 2023MiddlesbroughCardiff City2-0
Under 3.5✓
Feb 11, 2023Cardiff CityMiddlesbrough1-3
Over 3.5✕

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