Derby County
Stoke City
Derby County vs Stoke City Prediction
Why we picked this for Derby County vs Stoke City
For this Championship fixture we go with Over 2.5 goals for Derby County vs Stoke City, at 60% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Derby County's games produced 2.6 goals on average, 2 of them over 2.5. Stoke City's games averaged 3.2, with 4 of 5 over the line. Current form is what points us towards Over 2.5.
History between the two sides fits the pick too: 3 of 5 recent meetings went over 2.5. The 60% confidence reflects a real but modest lean in the recent numbers.
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Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Last 5 meetings
Derby County vs Stoke City, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 06, 2026 | Derby County | Stoke City | 2-0 | Under 2.5✕ |
| Aug 09, 2025 | Stoke City | Derby County | 3-1 | Over 2.5✓ |
| May 03, 2025 | Derby County | Stoke City | 0-0 | Under 2.5✕ |
| Nov 02, 2024 | Stoke City | Derby County | 2-1 | Over 2.5✓ |
| Dec 30, 2021 | Stoke City | Derby County | 1-2 | Over 2.5✓ |
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