Home/Spain Tips/Real Madrid vs Sevilla
Primera DivisionSunday, 18 October 2026 · Kick-off 20:00 UTC
REA

Real Madrid

VS
SEV

Sevilla

Real Madrid vs Sevilla Prediction

Under3.5 goals
56% confidence
Best odds 1.86 @ MegapariBet now @ 1.86 →

Why we picked this for Real Madrid vs Sevilla

Our pick for Real Madrid vs Sevilla in Primera Division is Under 3.5 goals, with 56% confidence. Recent form: 3 of Real Madrid's last 5 games went over 3.5 goals (4.2 goals per game in total), against 2 of 5 for Sevilla (2.8 per game). Recent form is split here (5 of 10 games went under 3.5), so it doesn't settle the call on its own.

Previous meetings agree, with 4 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending under 3.5. The 56% confidence reflects a real but modest lean in the recent numbers.

How we make our predictions →

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4.2
avg goals, Real Madrid last 5
2.8
avg goals, Sevilla last 5
20%
last 5 H2H went over 3.5
5 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 3.5 total goals.

Real Madrid
Roma 3-4 Real Madrid
Oct 14, 2026
Over 3.5✕
Real Madrid 1-0 Villarreal
Oct 10, 2026
Under 3.5✓
Atletico Madrid 2-1 Real Madrid
Sep 20, 2026
Under 3.5✓
Elche 2-3 Real Madrid
Sep 15, 2026
Over 3.5✕
Real Madrid 4-1 Rayo Vallecano
Sep 12, 2026
Over 3.5✕
Sevilla
Levante UD 3-3 Sevilla
Oct 12, 2026
Over 3.5✕
Sevilla 1-3 Barcelona
Sep 19, 2026
Over 3.5✕
Dep. A Coruna 0-1 Sevilla
Sep 16, 2026
Under 3.5✓
Sevilla 1-0 Valencia
Sep 11, 2026
Under 3.5✓
Espanyol 1-1 Sevilla
Sep 06, 2026
Under 3.5✓

Last 5 meetings

Real Madrid vs Sevilla, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
May 17, 2026SevillaReal Madrid0-1
Under 3.5✓
Dec 20, 2025Real MadridSevilla2-0
Under 3.5✓
May 18, 2025SevillaReal Madrid0-2
Under 3.5✓
Dec 22, 2024Real MadridSevilla4-2
Over 3.5✕
Feb 25, 2024Real MadridSevilla1-0
Under 3.5✓

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