Home/Portugal Tips/Vitoria Guimaraes vs Maritimo
Primeira LigaFriday, 23 October 2026 · Kick-off 20:45 UTC
VIT

Vitoria Guimaraes

VS
MAR

Maritimo

Vitoria Guimaraes vs Maritimo Prediction

Under2.5 goals
52% confidence
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Why we picked this for Vitoria Guimaraes vs Maritimo

Under 2.5 goals is our call for Vitoria Guimaraes against Maritimo (Primeira Liga), rated at 52% confidence. Matches involving Vitoria Guimaraes produced 1.6 goals per game over their last 5, and 1 of those went over 2.5. For Maritimo it is 3.0 goals per game, with 4 of 5 over 2.5. Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 5 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Under 2.5.

The head-to-head points the same way: 3 of their last 5 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. With 52% confidence the recent numbers only just favour this side, so this is one of our weaker picks.

How we make our predictions →

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1.6
avg goals, Vitoria Guimaraes last 5
3.0
avg goals, Maritimo last 5
40%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
5 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Vitoria Guimaraes
Benfica 2-0 Vitoria Guimaraes
Oct 11, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Vitoria Guimaraes 1-1 Moreirense
Sep 20, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Academica Viseu 2-1 Vitoria Guimaraes
Sep 12, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Vitoria Guimaraes 0-0 Casa Pia Atletico
Sep 06, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Sporting de Braga 1-0 Vitoria Guimaraes
Aug 31, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Maritimo
Maritimo 1-2 Porto
Oct 10, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Gil Vicente 1-1 Maritimo
Sep 19, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Moreirense 3-1 Maritimo
Sep 14, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Maritimo 0-3 Benfica
Sep 05, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Arouca 2-1 Maritimo
Aug 29, 2026
Over 2.5✕

Last 5 meetings

Vitoria Guimaraes vs Maritimo, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Apr 29, 2023MaritimoVitoria Guimaraes1-2
Over 2.5✕
Nov 13, 2022Vitoria GuimaraesMaritimo1-0
Under 2.5✓
Mar 13, 2022MaritimoVitoria Guimaraes0-1
Under 2.5✓
Oct 22, 2021Vitoria GuimaraesMaritimo2-1
Over 2.5✕
May 16, 2021MaritimoVitoria Guimaraes0-0
Under 2.5✓

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