Manchester City
Brighton
Manchester City vs Brighton Prediction
Why we picked this for Manchester City vs Brighton
For this EFL Trophy fixture we go with Under 3.5 goals for Manchester City vs Brighton, at 52% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Manchester City's games produced 4.6 goals on average, 3 of them over 3.5. Brighton's games averaged 2.6, with 2 of 5 over the line. Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 5 of the 10 recent games went under 3.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Under 3.5.
History between the two sides fits the pick too: 3 of 5 recent meetings went under 3.5. With 52% confidence the recent numbers only just favour this side, so this is one of our weaker picks.
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Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 3.5 total goals.
Last 5 meetings
Manchester City vs Brighton, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 07, 2026 | Manchester City | Brighton | 1-1 | Under 3.5✓ |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Brighton | Manchester City | 2-1 | Under 3.5✓ |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Manchester City | Brighton | 2-2 | Over 3.5✕ |
| Nov 09, 2024 | Brighton | Manchester City | 2-1 | Under 3.5✓ |
| Apr 25, 2024 | Brighton | Manchester City | 0-4 | Over 3.5✕ |
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