Home/England Tips/Liverpool vs Chelsea
EFL TrophyWednesday, 28 October 2026 · Kick-off 20:00 UTC
LIV

Liverpool

VS
CHE

Chelsea

Liverpool vs Chelsea Prediction

Under3.5 goals
60% confidence
Best odds 1.68 @ MegapariBet now @ 1.68 →

Why we picked this for Liverpool vs Chelsea

Our pick for Liverpool vs Chelsea in EFL Trophy is Under 3.5 goals, with 60% confidence. Recent form: 2 of Liverpool's last 5 games went over 3.5 goals (4.8 goals per game in total), against 2 of 5 for Chelsea (3.4 per game). That recent scoring pattern is the main reason behind the pick.

Previous meetings agree, with 3 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending under 3.5. At 60%, the recent numbers lean this way, but not strongly.

How we make our predictions →

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4.8
avg goals, Liverpool last 5
3.4
avg goals, Chelsea last 5
40%
last 5 H2H went over 3.5
4 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 3.5 total goals.

Liverpool
Liverpool 2-0 Brighton
Oct 25, 2026
Under 3.5✓
Liverpool 4-3 Villarreal
Oct 20, 2026
Over 3.5✕
Brentford 1-2 Liverpool
Oct 17, 2026
Under 3.5✓
LASK Linz 3-6 Liverpool
Oct 14, 2026
Over 3.5✕
Liverpool 0-3 Manchester City
Oct 11, 2026
Under 3.5✓
Chelsea
Chelsea 0-2 Tottenham Hotspur
Oct 24, 2026
Under 3.5✓
Everton 0-2 Chelsea
Oct 17, 2026
Under 3.5✓
Chelsea 5-1 Bournemouth
Oct 10, 2026
Over 3.5✕
Brentford 3-0 Chelsea
Sep 18, 2026
Under 3.5✓
Chelsea 2-2 Hull City
Sep 12, 2026
Over 3.5✕

Last 5 meetings

Liverpool vs Chelsea, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
May 09, 2026LiverpoolChelsea1-1
Under 3.5✓
Oct 04, 2025ChelseaLiverpool2-1
Under 3.5✓
May 04, 2025ChelseaLiverpool3-1
Over 3.5✕
Oct 20, 2024LiverpoolChelsea2-1
Under 3.5✓
Jan 31, 2024LiverpoolChelsea4-1
Over 3.5✕

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