Home/Spain Tips/Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad
Primera DivisionSunday, 01 November 2026 · Kick-off 20:00 UTC
ATH

Athletic Bilbao

VS
REA

Real Sociedad

Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad Prediction

Under2.5 goals
Analyst pickrecent numbers: 48% on this side
Best odds 2.21 @ MegapariBet now @ 2.21 →

Why we picked this for Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad

Under 2.5 goals is an analyst pick for Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad (Primera Division): it goes against the recent numbers below, so it carries no confidence figure. Matches involving Athletic Bilbao produced 3.0 goals per game over their last 5, and 3 of those went over 2.5. For Real Sociedad it is 4.6 goals per game, with 4 of 5 over 2.5. The recent numbers point the other way: only 3 of the 10 recent games of these two teams went under 2.5. Recent results can mislead when the teams have been playing very different opposition (another league, much stronger or much weaker sides), and here the analyst expects this match to play differently.

The head-to-head points the same way: 4 of their last 5 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. Treat it as a judgement call rather than a pick backed by the numbers.

How we make our predictions →

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3.0
avg goals, Athletic Bilbao last 5
4.6
avg goals, Real Sociedad last 5
20%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
7 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Athletic Bilbao
AE Prat 1-6 Athletic Bilbao
Oct 29, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Athletic Bilbao 4-0 Getafe
Oct 25, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Levante UD 3-1 Athletic Bilbao
Oct 21, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Valencia 0-0 Athletic Bilbao
Oct 17, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Rayo Vallecano 0-0 Athletic Bilbao
Oct 10, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad 2-1 Levante UD
Oct 25, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Lillestrom 0-6 Real Sociedad
Oct 22, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Malaga 2-5 Real Sociedad
Oct 18, 2026
Over 2.5✕
Union Saint-Gilloise 1-1 Real Sociedad
Oct 15, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Real Sociedad 3-2 Deportivo La Coruna
Oct 11, 2026
Over 2.5✕

Last 5 meetings

Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Mar 04, 2026Real SociedadAthletic Bilbao1-0
Under 2.5✓
Feb 11, 2026Athletic BilbaoReal Sociedad0-1
Under 2.5✓
Feb 01, 2026Athletic BilbaoReal Sociedad1-1
Under 2.5✓
Nov 01, 2025Real SociedadAthletic Bilbao3-2
Over 2.5✕
May 04, 2025Real SociedadAthletic Bilbao0-0
Under 2.5✓

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