Liverpool
Arsenal
Liverpool vs Arsenal Prediction
Why we picked this for Liverpool vs Arsenal
For Liverpool vs Arsenal (Premier League) our analyst goes with Under 2.5 goals. This is a judgement call against the recent numbers, which is why no confidence figure is shown. Matches involving Liverpool produced 4.8 goals per game over their last 5, and 4 of those went over 2.5. For Arsenal it is 2.6 goals per game, with 3 of 5 over 2.5. On recent form this pick looks wrong: just 3 of the teams' last 10 games went under 2.5. The analyst's view is that those games, against different levels of opposition, say little about this particular matchup.
The head-to-head doesn't back it either: only 2 of their last 5 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. It is a judgement call, not a numbers call, and it is tracked in our record like every other pick.
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Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Last 5 meetings
Liverpool vs Arsenal, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 08, 2026 | Arsenal | Liverpool | 0-0 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Liverpool | Arsenal | 1-0 | Under 2.5✓ |
| May 11, 2025 | Liverpool | Arsenal | 2-2 | Over 2.5✕ |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Arsenal | Liverpool | 2-2 | Over 2.5✕ |
| Feb 04, 2024 | Arsenal | Liverpool | 3-1 | Over 2.5✕ |
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