Progresso
Defensor Sporting
Progresso vs Defensor Sporting Prediction
Why we picked this for Progresso vs Defensor Sporting
For Progresso vs Defensor Sporting (Primera Division) our analyst goes with Over 2.5 goals. This is a judgement call against the recent numbers, which is why no confidence figure is shown. Matches involving Progresso produced 2.4 goals per game over their last 5, and 2 of those went over 2.5. For Defensor Sporting it is 0.8 goals per game, with 0 of 5 over 2.5. On recent form this pick looks wrong: just 2 of the teams' last 10 games went over 2.5. The analyst's view is that those games, against different levels of opposition, say little about this particular matchup.
The head-to-head points the same way: 4 of their last 5 meetings finished over 2.5 goals. It is a judgement call, not a numbers call, and it is tracked in our record like every other pick.
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Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Last 5 meetings
Progresso vs Defensor Sporting, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2025 | Progresso | Defensor Sporting | 2-3 | Over 2.5✓ |
| Apr 21, 2025 | Defensor Sporting | Progresso | 1-2 | Over 2.5✓ |
| Nov 14, 2024 | Defensor Sporting | Progresso | 3-0 | Over 2.5✓ |
| Jun 16, 2024 | Defensor Sporting | Progresso | 1-1 | Under 2.5✕ |
| May 12, 2024 | Progresso | Defensor Sporting | 1-4 | Over 2.5✓ |
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