Home/UEFA Tips/Atletico Madrid vs Bayern Munich
Champions LeagueTuesday, 03 November 2026 · Kick-off 20:00 UTC
ATL

Atletico Madrid

VS
BAY

Bayern Munich

Atletico Madrid vs Bayern Munich Prediction

Under3.5 goals
50% confidence
Best odds 1.90 @ MegapariBet now @ 1.90 →

Why we picked this for Atletico Madrid vs Bayern Munich

For this Champions League fixture we go with Under 3.5 goals for Atletico Madrid vs Bayern Munich, at 50% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Atletico Madrid's games produced 1.8 goals on average, 0 of them over 3.5. Bayern Munich's games averaged 5.6, with 5 of 5 over the line. Recent form is split here (5 of 10 games went under 3.5), so it doesn't settle the call on its own.

The head-to-head is split: 1 of their last 2 meetings finished under 3.5 goals. At 50%, the recent numbers are close to even, so this is one of our weaker picks; treat it with caution.

How we make our predictions →

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1.8
avg goals, Atletico Madrid last 5
5.6
avg goals, Bayern Munich last 5
50%
last 2 H2H went over 3.5
5 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 3.5 total goals.

Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid 1-0 Deportivo La Coruna
Oct 24, 2026
Under 3.5✓
Stuttgart 1-1 Atletico Madrid
Oct 20, 2026
Under 3.5✓
Espanyol 0-1 Atletico Madrid
Oct 17, 2026
Under 3.5✓
Atletico Madrid 2-0 Manchester United
Oct 13, 2026
Under 3.5✓
Deportivo Alaves 1-2 Atletico Madrid
Oct 10, 2026
Under 3.5✓
Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich 6-1 Magdeburg
Oct 28, 2026
Over 3.5✕
Freiburg 1-3 Bayern Munich
Oct 25, 2026
Over 3.5✕
Bayern Munich 2-2 Arsenal
Oct 21, 2026
Over 3.5✕
Bayern Munich 6-1 RB Leipzig
Oct 17, 2026
Over 3.5✕
Viking FK 3-3 Bayern Munich
Oct 13, 2026
Over 3.5✕

Last 2 meetings

Atletico Madrid vs Bayern Munich, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Dec 01, 2020Atletico MadridBayern Munich1-1
Under 3.5✓
Oct 21, 2020Bayern MunichAtletico Madrid4-0
Over 3.5✕

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