Chaves
Penafiel
Chaves vs Penafiel Prediction
Why we picked this for Chaves vs Penafiel
For Chaves vs Penafiel (Segunda Liga) our analyst goes with Under 2.5 goals. This is a judgement call against the recent numbers, which is why no confidence figure is shown. In their last 5 matches, Chaves's games produced 2.8 goals on average, 3 of them over 2.5. Penafiel's games averaged 3.4, with 4 of 5 over the line. On recent form this pick looks wrong: just 3 of the teams' last 10 games went under 2.5. The analyst's view is that those games, against different levels of opposition, say little about this particular matchup.
History between the two sides fits the pick too: 4 of 5 recent meetings went under 2.5. It is a judgement call, not a numbers call, and it is tracked in our record like every other pick.
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Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Last 5 meetings
Chaves vs Penafiel, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 06, 2026 | Chaves | Penafiel | 0-1 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Penafiel | Chaves | 0-2 | Under 2.5✓ |
| May 15, 2025 | Penafiel | Chaves | 0-0 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Jan 04, 2025 | Chaves | Penafiel | 0-1 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Mar 06, 2022 | Penafiel | Chaves | 2-1 | Over 2.5✕ |
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