Finland
San Marino
Finland vs San Marino Prediction
Why we picked this for Finland vs San Marino
For Finland vs San Marino (Nations League) our analyst goes with Over 3.5 goals. This is a judgement call against the recent numbers, which is why no confidence figure is shown. Recent form: 1 of Finland's last 5 games went over 3.5 goals (2.6 goals per game in total), against 2 of 5 for San Marino (3.8 per game). On recent form this pick looks wrong: just 3 of the teams' last 10 games went over 3.5. The analyst's view is that those games, against different levels of opposition, say little about this particular matchup.
Previous meetings agree, with 3 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending over 3.5. It is a judgement call, not a numbers call, and it is tracked in our record like every other pick.
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Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 3.5 total goals.
Last 5 meetings
Finland vs San Marino, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | San Marino | Finland | 0-7 | Over 3.5✓ |
| Nov 20, 2023 | San Marino | Finland | 1-2 | Under 3.5✕ |
| Jun 19, 2023 | Finland | San Marino | 6-0 | Over 3.5✓ |
| Jun 03, 2011 | San Marino | Finland | 0-1 | Under 3.5✕ |
| Nov 17, 2010 | Finland | San Marino | 8-0 | Over 3.5✓ |
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