Home/France Tips/Marseille vs Lyon
Ligue 1Sunday, 18 March 2018 · Full-time2-3✓
MAR

Marseille

VS
LYO

Lyon

Marseille vs Lyon Prediction

Over2.5 goals
51% confidence

Why we picked this for Marseille vs Lyon

Our pick for Marseille vs Lyon in Ligue 1 is Over 2.5 goals, with 51% confidence. Recent form: 4 of Marseille's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (3.0 goals per game in total), against 1 of 5 for Lyon (2.2 per game). Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 5 of the 10 recent games went over 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Over 2.5.

The head-to-head points the other way: only 0 of their last 1 meetings finished over 2.5 goals. Older meetings say less about how these teams play now, so recent form counts for more in our numbers. With 51% confidence the recent numbers only just favour this side, so this is one of our weaker picks. Final score: 2-3. The pick won.

How we make our predictions →

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3.0
avg goals, Marseille last 5
2.2
avg goals, Lyon last 5
0%
last 1 H2H went over 2.5
5 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Marseille
Athletic Bilbao 1-2 Marseille
Mar 15, 2018
Over 2.5✓
Toulouse 1-2 Marseille
Mar 11, 2018
Over 2.5✓
Marseille 3-1 Athletic Bilbao
Mar 08, 2018
Over 2.5✓
Marseille 1-1 Nantes
Mar 04, 2018
Under 2.5✕
Paris SG 3-0 Marseille
Feb 25, 2018
Over 2.5✓
Lyon
Lyon 2-3 CSKA Moscow
Mar 15, 2018
Over 2.5✓
Lyon 1-0 Caen
Mar 11, 2018
Under 2.5✕
CSKA Moscow 0-1 Lyon
Mar 08, 2018
Under 2.5✕
Montpellier 1-1 Lyon
Mar 04, 2018
Under 2.5✕
Lyon 1-1 Saint Etienne
Feb 25, 2018
Under 2.5✕

Last meeting

Marseille vs Lyon, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Dec 17, 2017LyonMarseille2-0
Under 2.5✕