Derby County
Middlesbrough
Derby County vs Middlesbrough Prediction
Why we picked this for Derby County vs Middlesbrough
Our pick for Derby County vs Middlesbrough in Championship is Under 2.5 goals, with 94% confidence. Recent form: 3 of Derby County's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (3.0 goals per game in total), against 3 of 5 for Middlesbrough (2.6 per game). Recent form is split here (4 of 10 games went under 2.5), so it doesn't settle the call on its own.
Past meetings don't back this call, with just 0 of the last 1 head-to-heads ending under 2.5. Recent form weighs more heavily than older fixtures, which is why the pick stands. A confidence of 94% means the recent numbers clearly point to Under 2.5. The match ended 1-2, so Under 2.5 didn't come in.
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Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Last meeting
Derby County vs Middlesbrough, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2017 | Middlesbrough | Derby County | 0-3 | Over 2.5✕ |