Erzgebirge Aue vs MSV Duisburg Prediction

For this 2nd Bundesliga fixture we go with Under 2.5 goals for Erzgebirge Aue vs MSV Duisburg, at 70% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Erzgebirge Aue's games produced 2.4 goals on average, 3 of them over 2.5. MSV Duisburg's games averaged 3.0, with 3 of 5 over the line. Recent form is split here (4 of 10 games went under 2.5), so it doesn't settle the call on its own.

Past meetings don't back this call, with just 0 of the last 1 head-to-heads ending under 2.5. Recent form weighs more heavily than older fixtures, which is why the pick stands. A confidence of 70% means the recent numbers clearly point to Under 2.5. The match ended 1-3, so Under 2.5 didn't come in.

How we make our predictions →