Aston Villa
Derby County
Aston Villa vs Derby County Prediction
Why we picked this for Aston Villa vs Derby County
Our pick for Aston Villa vs Derby County in Championship is Over 2.5 goals, with 96% confidence. Recent form: 3 of Aston Villa's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (2.6 goals per game in total), against 4 of 5 for Derby County (3.2 per game). That recent scoring pattern is the main reason behind the pick.
Past meetings don't back this call, with just 0 of the last 1 head-to-heads ending over 2.5. Recent form weighs more heavily than older fixtures, which is why the pick stands. A confidence of 96% means the recent numbers clearly point to Over 2.5. The match ended 1-1, so Over 2.5 didn't come in.
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Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Last meeting
Aston Villa vs Derby County, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2017 | Derby County | Aston Villa | 2-0 | Under 2.5✕ |