Arouca
Nacional
Arouca vs Nacional Prediction
Why we picked this for Arouca vs Nacional
Under 2.5 goals is our call for Arouca against Nacional (Segunda Liga), rated at 75% confidence. Matches involving Arouca produced 2.2 goals per game over their last 5, and 2 of those went over 2.5. For Nacional it is 2.8 goals per game, with 3 of 5 over 2.5. Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 5 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Under 2.5.
The head-to-head points the other way: only 0 of their last 1 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. Older meetings say less about how these teams play now, so recent form counts for more in our numbers. At 75%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 0-1. The pick won.
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Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Last meeting
Arouca vs Nacional, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2017 | Nacional | Arouca | 2-2 | Over 2.5✕ |