Home/International Tips/Atletico Madrid vs Arsenal
FriendliesThursday, 26 July 2018 · Full-time1-1✕
ATL

Atletico Madrid

VS
ARS

Arsenal

Atletico Madrid vs Arsenal Prediction

Over2.5 goals
57% confidence

Why we picked this for Atletico Madrid vs Arsenal

Over 2.5 goals is our call for Atletico Madrid against Arsenal (Friendlies), rated at 57% confidence. Matches involving Atletico Madrid produced 2.2 goals per game over their last 5, and 2 of those went over 2.5. For Arsenal it is 2.8 goals per game, with 3 of 5 over 2.5. Recent form is split here (5 of 10 games went over 2.5), so it doesn't settle the call on its own.

Past meetings don't back this call, with just 0 of the last 2 head-to-heads ending over 2.5. Recent form weighs more heavily than older fixtures, which is why the pick stands. The 57% confidence reflects a real but modest lean in the recent numbers. The match ended 1-1, so Over 2.5 didn't come in.

How we make our predictions →

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2.2
avg goals, Atletico Madrid last 5
2.8
avg goals, Arsenal last 5
0%
last 2 H2H went over 2.5
5 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid 2-2 Eibar
May 20, 2018
Over 2.5✓
Marseille 0-3 Atletico Madrid
May 16, 2018
Over 2.5✓
Getafe 0-1 Atletico Madrid
May 12, 2018
Under 2.5✕
Atletico Madrid 0-2 Espanyol
May 06, 2018
Under 2.5✕
Atletico Madrid 1-0 Arsenal
May 03, 2018
Under 2.5✕
Arsenal
Huddersfield 0-1 Arsenal
May 13, 2018
Under 2.5✕
Leicester City 3-1 Arsenal
May 09, 2018
Over 2.5✓
Arsenal 5-0 Burnley
May 06, 2018
Over 2.5✓
Atletico Madrid 1-0 Arsenal
May 03, 2018
Under 2.5✕
Manchester United 2-1 Arsenal
Apr 29, 2018
Over 2.5✓

Last 2 meetings

Atletico Madrid vs Arsenal, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
May 03, 2018Atletico MadridArsenal1-0
Under 2.5✕
Apr 26, 2018ArsenalAtletico Madrid1-1
Under 2.5✕