Home/England Tips/Reading vs Derby County
ChampionshipFriday, 03 August 2018 · Full-time1-2✕
REA

Reading

VS
DER

Derby County

Reading vs Derby County Prediction

Under2.5 goals
52% confidence

Why we picked this for Reading vs Derby County

Under 2.5 goals is our call for Reading against Derby County (Championship), rated at 52% confidence. Matches involving Reading produced 2.4 goals per game over their last 5, and 3 of those went over 2.5. For Derby County it is 2.8 goals per game, with 2 of 5 over 2.5. Recent form is split here (5 of 10 games went under 2.5), so it doesn't settle the call on its own.

Past meetings don't back this call, with just 0 of the last 2 head-to-heads ending under 2.5. Recent form weighs more heavily than older fixtures, which is why the pick stands. At 52%, the recent numbers are close to even, so this is one of our weaker picks; treat it with caution. The match ended 1-2, so Under 2.5 didn't come in.

How we make our predictions →

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2.4
avg goals, Reading last 5
2.8
avg goals, Derby County last 5
100%
last 2 H2H went over 2.5
5 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Reading
Cardiff City 0-0 Reading
May 06, 2018
Under 2.5✓
Reading 0-4 Ipswich Town
Apr 28, 2018
Over 2.5✕
Sheffield Wednesday 3-0 Reading
Apr 21, 2018
Over 2.5✕
Reading 2-2 Sunderland
Apr 14, 2018
Over 2.5✕
Fulham 1-0 Reading
Apr 10, 2018
Under 2.5✓
Derby County
Fulham 2-0 Derby County
May 14, 2018
Under 2.5✓
Derby County 1-0 Fulham
May 11, 2018
Under 2.5✓
Derby County 4-1 Barnsley
May 06, 2018
Over 2.5✕
Aston Villa 1-1 Derby County
Apr 28, 2018
Under 2.5✓
Derby County 3-1 Cardiff City
Apr 24, 2018
Over 2.5✕

Last 2 meetings

Reading vs Derby County, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Feb 24, 2018ReadingDerby County3-3
Over 2.5✕
Nov 04, 2017Derby CountyReading2-4
Over 2.5✕