Derby County vs Leeds United Prediction

For this Championship fixture we go with Under 2.5 goals for Derby County vs Leeds United, at 71% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Derby County's games produced 2.6 goals on average, 2 of them over 2.5. Leeds United's games averaged 2.6, with 3 of 5 over the line. Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 5 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Under 2.5.

The head-to-head points the other way: only 0 of their last 2 meetings finished under 2.5 goals. Older meetings say less about how these teams play now, so recent form counts for more in our numbers. At 71%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 1-4. The pick lost.

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