Home/England Tips/Millwall vs Derby County
ChampionshipSaturday, 18 August 2018 · Full-time2-1✕
MIL

Millwall

VS
DER

Derby County

Millwall vs Derby County Prediction

Under2.5 goals
60% confidence

Why we picked this for Millwall vs Derby County

Under 2.5 goals is our call for Millwall against Derby County (Championship), rated at 60% confidence. Matches involving Millwall produced 2.0 goals per game over their last 5, and 2 of those went over 2.5. For Derby County it is 3.2 goals per game, with 3 of 5 over 2.5. Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 5 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Under 2.5.

Past meetings don't decide it either way, with 1 of the last 2 ending under 2.5. At 60%, the recent numbers lean this way, but not strongly. Final score: 2-1. The pick lost.

How we make our predictions →

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2.0
avg goals, Millwall last 5
3.2
avg goals, Derby County last 5
50%
last 2 H2H went over 2.5
5 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Millwall
Blackburn Rovers 0-0 Millwall
Aug 11, 2018
Under 2.5✓
Millwall 2-2 Middlesbrough
Aug 04, 2018
Over 2.5✕
Millwall 1-0 Aston Villa
May 06, 2018
Under 2.5✓
Middlesbrough 2-0 Millwall
Apr 28, 2018
Under 2.5✓
Millwall 0-3 Fulham
Apr 20, 2018
Over 2.5✕
Derby County
Derby County 1-4 Leeds United
Aug 11, 2018
Over 2.5✕
Reading 1-2 Derby County
Aug 03, 2018
Over 2.5✕
Fulham 2-0 Derby County
May 14, 2018
Under 2.5✓
Derby County 1-0 Fulham
May 11, 2018
Under 2.5✓
Derby County 4-1 Barnsley
May 06, 2018
Over 2.5✕

Last 2 meetings

Millwall vs Derby County, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Jan 30, 2018MillwallDerby County0-0
Under 2.5✓
Dec 23, 2017Derby CountyMillwall3-0
Over 2.5✕